Property market has not seriously damaged the extent of the economy

The property market is still not to the extent of the damage to the economy of sina finance opinion leaders (WeChat public kopleader) columnist Wang Tao recently part of the city’s real estate market fever has not been transmitted to the majority of city residents, no debt climbed to the level of alert, real estate construction activity did not significantly speed up. In the case of relatively stable balance of assets and liabilities of residents, real estate construction is the most important factor affecting the overall economy. Not to the extent of economic bubble serious injury this summer, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Suzhou, Hefei, Wuhan, Zhengzhou, Shanghai city "the most expensive land" frequent, wild Shanghai — August 18th day three the most expensive land. Some media said in awe, the real estate market and the land has become the core of the city, the capital of the hunting field. In the current domestic and international economic situation, the real estate market will continue to frequent the most expensive land? Housing prices will continue to maintain the trend? Welcome to the, say your point of view! The real estate market will pick up in the next few months will spread to more cities, driven by the construction of the recovery, boost the economy improved? Or that the real estate bubble comeback, has been on the verge of collapse, will be a significant drag on future economic growth? Real estate construction activities will be the key factor in determining the future economic trends in the next 6-12 months. What is the real estate market recovery or bubble comeback? Real estate sales experienced a rebound in 2015, at the end of last year, gradually weakening. 2016 real estate sales once again significantly accelerated, 1-8 month growth of 25% over the past 12 months, a total of residential sales area of up to 1 billion 280 million square meters (equivalent to about 12 million sets of housing). The new construction has also reversed the decline of more than 10% in the past two years, this year 1-8 month rose by 12%. Real estate investment in the second half of 2015 to increase 1-8 months, an increase of about 5%. UBS estimates of the real estate construction activity index also returned to growth this year (Figure 1). Figure 1 with the past two years, real estate and credit policy continues to relax, the real estate market ushered in the long-awaited recovery. Since the beginning of the 2014 year, many of the city to relax the purchase of real estate policy, the government has repeatedly lowered down payment requirements and repeatedly cut, and relaxation of mortgage loans and developers credit limit, many city also reduced the supply of land, and introduced a number of policies to promote urbanization and real estate inventory. Among them, in February this year, once again lowered the down payment and subsequent months accelerated expansion of credit, may promote the recent market rebound is the most important fuse; at the same time, the local government may push up prices also contributed to the expectation of rising prices and sales growth. Over the past two years the real estate market has been a depth adjustment, a significant drag on the overall economic growth, and the current round of real estate recovery has played a supporting role in economic growth. As we in the "real estate bubble worries" in a series of reports written by the real estate may be the most important in our country economy industry, real estate construction volume callback will not only drag on the real estate investment, building materials, construction machinery, transportation and other products demand will hit).相关的主题文章:

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